A New Single-Tablet Option for HIV's "Forgotten Population" Could Change Lives. Will Policy Let It?
With contributions from David "Jax" Kelly, JD, MPH, MBA
Editor's Note: David "Jax" Kelly, JD, MPH, MBA, is the Founder, President, and CEO of the Aging and HIV Institute and President of Let's Kick ASS Palm Springs (AIDS Survivor Syndrome). The Aging and HIV Institute works at the intersection of aging policy, HIV, and health equity, focusing on strengthening how aging systems recognize and respond to people aging with HIV. The organization analyzes policy language, governance structures, and planning processes to ensure that people living with HIV are explicitly included in the frameworks that guide aging services. The kind of policy and systems work described in this article depends on organizations like the Aging and HIV Institute having the resources to stay at the table. If you believe older adults living with HIV deserve a seat in the rooms where aging policy is shaped, consider making a contribution at AgingandHIV.org.
For nearly two decades, single-tablet regimens have been the standard of care in HIV treatment. One pill, once a day, to maintain viral suppression. For most people living with HIV, that promise became reality years ago. But for tens of thousands of people in the United States and many more worldwide, it never did.
These are people whose treatment histories stretch back to the earliest years of the epidemic, when the drugs available were less effective and far harder on the body. Many developed resistance to multiple classes of antiretrovirals over the course of decades on treatment. Others cannot tolerate components of existing single-pill options, or face drug-drug interactions with the medications they take for conditions that come with aging. The result is a population still managing complex regimens of multiple pills, multiple times a day, while the rest of HIV treatment has moved on without them.
As Dr. Chloe Orkin, Clinical Professor of Infection and Inequities at Queen Mary University of London and lead investigator of the ARTISTRY-1 trial, told NPR in March 2026: "They're like a forgotten population."
Now, new data suggest that may be about to change. On February 25, 2026, The Lancet published the Phase 3 results of the ARTISTRY-1 trial, which tested a new once-daily single-tablet regimen combining bictegravir, a guideline-recommended integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) with a high barrier to resistance, and lenacapavir, a first-in-class capsid inhibitor. The combination, made by Gilead Sciences, was presented as a late-breaker at the 33rd Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI) 2026 in Denver. The results are strong. The question now is whether the people who need this pill the most will actually be able to get it.
The ARTISTRY-1 Trial: What the Data Show
The ARTISTRY-1 trial enrolled 557 people with HIV across 90 sites in 15 countries, all virologically suppressed on complex multi-tablet regimens, and randomized 2:1 to switch to the bictegravir/lenacapavir (BIC/LEN) single-tablet regimen or continue their existing complex regimen. The study population reflects exactly who this pill was designed for: the oldest cohort enrolled in a registrational HIV treatment program to date, with a median age of 60, a median of 28 years on antiretroviral therapy (ART), and 81% on complex regimens due to drug resistance. At baseline, participants were taking a median of three antiretroviral pills per day (range 2 to 11), 39% were dosing twice daily, and 54% had two or more comorbidities including dyslipidemia (68%), hypertension (50%), and hyperglycemia or diabetes (24%).
At Week 48, only 0.8% of participants on BIC/LEN had HIV-1 RNA at or above 50 copies/mL, compared to 1.1% on the complex regimen, meeting noninferiority. No emergent resistance was detected. Switching to BIC/LEN also improved fasting lipid parameters in a population where over half carried two or more cardiovascular risk factors, and participants reported a mean 7-point increase in treatment satisfaction while those on complex regimens reported no change. A separate Phase 3 trial, ARTISTRY-2, presented alongside at CROI 2026, showed BIC/LEN was also noninferior to Biktarvy, a guideline-recommended first-line single-tablet regimen. Gilead plans to file for U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval "in the near future," with a potential launch in the second half of 2026. Bictegravir/lenacapavir in combination is investigational and not yet approved anywhere globally.
Who This Pill Is Really For: Long-Term Survivors Aging into Medicare
The clinical data are compelling. But this story requires context beyond the trial results.
The people who stand to benefit most from BIC/LEN are disproportionately older adults now covered by Medicare. Over half of people living with HIV in the United States are now age 50 or older, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The number of traditional Medicare beneficiaries with HIV has more than doubled since the mid-1990s, rising from roughly 42,500 in 1997 to over 103,000 in 2020, and this count does not include those enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans. Medicare is the second largest source of federal financing for HIV care, accounting for 39% of federal spending on HIV care and treatment.
For these older adults, treatment complexity carries consequences well beyond inconvenience. Research published in AIDS and Behavior found that among nearly 48,627 people with HIV in the Medicare program, only about 53% achieved optimal ART adherence. More than one in four had treatment gaps of at least 30 days, and 10% discontinued treatment entirely. A Health Affairsanalysis of Medicare claims data found that Medicare beneficiaries with HIV who were not receiving ART incurred 95.4% higher total spending than those without HIV, driven by higher rates of hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and spending on mental health and other chronic conditions. Beneficiaries who filled ART prescriptions consistently for 12 months, by contrast, had similar risk-adjusted Parts A and B spending to people without HIV. The data make a clear case: keeping people on treatment and adherent saves both lives and money. Treatment simplification is a direct lever for achieving that.
"Medicare provides essential coverage, but it was not originally designed with the long-term trajectory of HIV in mind," said Jax Kelly, JD, MPH, MBA, Founder, President, and CEO of the Aging and HIV Institute. "When I speak with long-term survivors, many tell me they feel grateful for Medicare coverage but still find the system difficult to navigate when it comes to specialized HIV care and medications." The day-to-day burden, Kelly noted, is logistical and financial as much as it is medical: "For someone on a fixed income, managing a complicated regimen alongside Medicare coverage rules can become stressful very quickly."
Kelly's perspective is shaped by years of work at the intersection of HIV and aging, including through the Aging and HIV Institute and Let's Kick ASS Palm Springs. "From my work, I see how important it is that scientific advances translate into real improvements in people's lives," he said. "As more people with HIV age into Medicare, we need policies that recognize the intersection of HIV, aging, and chronic disease management. Without that coordination, people can fall through gaps even when effective treatments exist."
Federal research from HRSA has echoed this concern, finding that older people with HIV have significantly higher rates of depression, chronic kidney disease, COPD, hypertension, diabetes, and other conditions compared to those without HIV, and calling for better coordination between HIV services and geriatric services, including training for medical professionals on the intersecting challenges of aging and HIV.
The Access Question: Will Formulary Barriers Block the Path?
If BIC/LEN receives FDA approval, the question of access will be immediate, especially for people on Medicare.
Medicare Part D plans are required to cover all approved antiretrovirals as one of the six protected drug classes. That is a meaningful safeguard. But coverage does not equal access. People with HIV on Medicare still face prior authorization requirements, specialty tier copays, and formulary placement decisions that vary from plan to plan. An IQVIA analysisof Medicare Part D formulary controls across five chronic therapeutic areas found that more than half of patients were initially denied coverage when trying to fill a new prescription. Among those who could not overcome a rejection within a year, 68% to 80% never started any treatment in that therapeutic area. While this study did not focus specifically on HIV, the pattern of formulary-driven treatment delays and abandonment should concern anyone watching how a new HIV therapy might move through the Medicare system.
"Historically, when new HIV medications enter the market, there can be a lag before Medicare Part D plans fully incorporate them into formularies," Kelly noted. "Sometimes they are placed on higher specialty tiers or require prior authorization before patients can access them."
The broader policy environment compounds this concern. Biktarvy, the most widely prescribed HIV medication in the U.S., was recently selected for the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the first HIV medication included. At the same time, we have watched Florida's ADAP crisis unfold, with thousands of people losing access to medications after the state slashed eligibility thresholds. These are reminders that even widely used and well-established HIV therapies can become subject to pricing pressures and funding instability. A new medication entering this environment will face the same forces, and advocates should be watching closely from day one.
Beyond the Pill Burden: What Treatment Simplification Really Means
There is an aspect of this conversation that the clinical trial data cannot fully capture. For long-term survivors who have spent decades on complex regimens because of drug resistance, treatment simplification is about more than reducing the number of pills. It touches questions of stigma, identity, and belonging that have defined the experience of aging with HIV.
When the Undetectable = Untransmittable (U=U) message gained traction, it was a turning point for many people living with HIV. The science was clear: people who achieve and maintain viral suppression cannot sexually transmit the virus. But some long-term survivors could not fully participate in that promise because their complex regimens, while keeping them alive, did not always achieve stable suppression, or because decades of earlier treatment had left them with resistance profiles that made sustained undetectability harder to reach.
"When the U=U message took hold several years ago, it transformed how people think about HIV and transmission," Kelly said. "But some long-term survivors told me they felt left behind because they had never been able to reach an undetectable viral load after decades on earlier generations of treatment. A therapy that helps more people achieve viral suppression could mean more than convenience. It could help erase a stigma that some long-term survivors have lived with for much of their lives."
Research among older adults living with HIV in South Carolina published in the Journal of the Association of Nurses in AIDS Care found mixed views on U=U, with some participants expressing outright skepticism. For older adults already facing the double stigma of HIV-related stigma and ageism, the psychological weight of being on a complex regimen while others take a single pill is real. An effective new single-tablet option, if accessible, could begin to close that gap.
What Needs to Happen Now
The ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2 data make a clear case for BIC/LEN as a treatment option. Gilead plans to seek FDA approval. Now the work shifts from the lab to the systems that determine whether people can actually get what the science has produced.
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) must ensure rapid and equitable formulary inclusion upon FDA approval. The agency should monitor Part D plan placement of BIC/LEN and act to prevent specialty tier assignment or excessive prior authorization requirements that would delay access for Medicare beneficiaries with HIV. Protected drug class status means nothing if the practical barriers to filling a prescription make access unworkable for people on fixed incomes managing multiple chronic conditions.
Federal and state policymakers must invest in integrating HIV care with aging services. HIV care and aging services operate in separate policy silos, with the Ryan White program, Medicare, and the Older Americans Act aging network each governed by different rules and funding streams. HRSA has called for increased integration, including training for medical professionals on multi-morbidity and polypharmacy in aging HIV populations. Older adults with HIV should not have to serve as their own case managers across fragmented systems. We need concrete movement on bridging them.
Advocates and community organizations must center older adults and long-term survivors in the conversation about treatment access. Too often, the voices of people who have been living with HIV the longest are absent from policy discussions about the medications they depend on. Community-based organizations, peer networks, and aging services providers should work together to ensure that this population is visible and heard, both in formal comment processes and in the broader public discourse around HIV treatment. The American Society on Aging's practical guide for making the aging network HIV-inclusive, published in December 2025, offers a concrete framework for this kind of cross-sector engagement.
We need to treat stigma as a policy issue, not a footnote. The work of education, outreach, and community building for older adults living with HIV has to accompany any new treatment advance. A pill that could bring more people to viral suppression has the potential to reduce the stigma that long-term survivors have carried for decades, but that potential only materializes if we pair it with targeted U=U education for older adults, provider training on the psychosocial dimensions of aging with HIV, and sustained investment in peer support networks. Science alone does not erase stigma. People do.
The long-term survivors who lived through the worst of the epidemic have been on treatment for close to three decades. They took the drugs that didn't work well, weathered the side effects of regimens that were the best available at the time, and developed the resistance profiles that locked them out of the simpler options that followed. As Kelly said: "New treatments are incredibly important, but they must be paired with policies that ensure older adults living with HIV can actually access them and benefit from them."
The science is closing the treatment gap for this overlooked population. Our policy systems and our communities must do the same.
